Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 392.048965 445.410485 504.708467 575.725650 658.773962 753.186718 869.165870
2025-11-09 318.435579 389.858801 476.568134 590.575887 737.993971 924.187615 1180.358406
2025-11-16 271.981001 349.526357 449.292894 588.958536 782.483711 1045.764038 1439.094017
2025-11-23 237.485924 316.957348 423.976571 581.503044 812.417297 1146.543075 1681.868330
2025-11-30 214.612400 295.875133 409.708743 584.796316 854.631803 1267.462854 1972.955072
2025-12-07 192.433778 272.574203 388.612363 573.879737 871.971615 1350.778057 2217.288649
2025-12-14 175.793324 255.174201 373.624754 569.347507 897.134174 1448.347603 2502.205736
2025-12-21 157.380520 233.087885 348.899012 545.812049 886.903038 1483.340445 2679.107520
2025-12-28 150.537050 228.023753 349.912328 563.987865 949.406665 1654.558972 3149.465824
2026-01-04 145.383780 225.009516 353.670878 586.866323 1022.918165 1857.393055 3729.060275
2026-01-11 137.019659 215.933688 346.366150 589.188367 1058.264445 1991.715586 4192.211209
2026-01-18 126.977837 203.179434 331.563857 576.087194 1061.840075 2061.810468 4524.557255
2026-01-25 118.229328 192.091602 318.955531 566.229605 1071.665048 2149.145726 4926.803781
2026-02-01 114.145073 188.745660 319.763364 582.096142 1136.585222 2368.677480 5724.494327
2026-02-08 107.970676 181.173527 312.155926 580.434668 1163.884487 2507.361882 6346.387704
2026-02-15 101.634509 172.807238 302.319088 573.109480 1177.587767 2616.086460 6915.530825
2026-02-22 97.193002 167.554097 297.872337 576.346743 1215.481064 2791.228398 7737.024633
2026-03-01 91.476739 159.509900 287.375978 565.614924 1219.268664 2879.836524 8315.306100
2026-03-08 86.944011 153.382513 280.137785 561.159217 1237.481125 3010.260738 9076.388805
2026-03-15 80.766965 143.706463 265.115636 538.019433 1206.677619 3000.868234 9349.781540
2026-03-22 79.282336 143.020554 268.180150 555.889934 1281.802411 3306.336903 10883.771841
2026-03-29 78.284542 143.207465 273.026783 578.381661 1372.516117 3678.514354 12839.230782
2026-04-05 75.451327 139.527350 269.472759 580.664307 1409.532353 3894.924998 14255.195078